It's perhaps going to be something of a 3-way tie at the top, with American Made, Kingsman: The Golden Circle & It all making around $16.5 million for the Fri-Sun frame.

Even if American Made takes the top spot, it is not the world's greatest opening weekend even for a fairly cheap, non-sequel/action/sci-fi Tom Cruise movie.

American Made is both the kind of movie that defined movie prominence in the 1980's & 1990's plus the kind of movie that is in short supply & a challenging sell in 2017.

Even with mostly encouraging reviews, we are still looking at a $6.06 million Friday & a likely $16.6m opening weekend.

Universal, which did not produce the movie & is distributing it everywhere excluding China, is hoping for legs closer to Edge of Tomorrow or Mission: Impossible Rogue Nation than Oblivion, The Mummy & Jack Reacher: Never Go Back.

Presuming a $16m debut for American Made, a 3.4x gets the movie to $55m whilst a 2.6x gets it to $42m. The competition will be atrocious thanks to the inundation of R-rated, adult-skewing genre offerings.

As somebody who likes to see Cruise making more movies like American Made & less like The Mummy, my fingers are crossed.